
Oil back above $100 and Polymarket puts a U.S.–Iran ceasefire at one in six for July
Brent crude rose above $100 a barrel on 23 July 2026 as France 24 reported Houthi action against shipping in the Red Sea and a fresh exchange of threats between Washington and Tehran, while two Polymarket contracts priced a U.S.–Iran ceasefire before month-end at roughly one in six.







