Iran rejects US 'interference' at Hormuz as prediction markets price blockade odds at 36%

Monexus Desk Note: Where wire coverage tended toward "deal or no deal," this piece reads the same hours through a prediction-market lens, treating the 36% price as a discrete piece of evidence about the credibility of a Friday accord that has not yet been published in full.

Wire provenance

This editorial synthesis draws on the following public wire/social posts:

• https://twitter.com/michaelh992/status/2076675918207049935/photo/1