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US and Iran trade air strikes for a second day, diplomacy on a knife's edge
Tehran and Washington spent Saturday exchanging satellite imagery of damaged Gulf bases and contradictory statements about whether a deal will be signed on Sunday, while mediators in Doha worked the phones and protesters in Tehran demanded the resignations of the negotiators themselves.

Sources:
- AMK_Mapping (Telegram, 2026-06-13, 22:41 UTC), Satellite imagery of Sheikh Isa Airbase fuel tanks
- Middle East Spectator (Telegram, 2026-06-13, 22:49 UTC), Ali Al Salem Airbase radar imagery
- PressTV (Telegram, 2026-06-13, 23:00 UTC), Ali Al Salem ASR-1000L radar destruction
- Sprinterpress (X, 2026-06-13, 23:40 / 23:43 / 23:47 / 23:49 UTC), Trump statement, Iranian foreign ministry denial, Tehran protest footage
- Intelslava (Telegram, 2026-06-13, 22:39 UTC), Jabal Ad Dukhan AR-327 radar imagery
- Iran International via WorldNewsWitness (Telegram, 2026-06-13, 22:19 UTC), Iranian newspaper coverage of the deal
- Middle East Eye (X, 2026-06-13, 22:29 UTC), Trump Sunday-signing claim, Tehran non-confirmation
- IranTasnim (Telegram, 2026-06-13, 22:38 UTC), Qatar–Kuwait mediation phone call
- CENTCOM via OSINT Live (Telegram, 2026-06-13, 22:36 UTC), USS George H.W. Bush Arabian Sea imagery
- AMK_Mapping (Telegram, 2026-06-13, 22:08 UTC), IDF ground operations in southern Lebanon
Desk note: Monexus framed this as a compressed-deadline coercion cycle, because the strikes and the public ultimatum are running in parallel rather than sequentially. The piece separates what the Iranian-aligned imagery claims from what independently verifiable commercial-satellite providers have confirmed, and treats Tehran's street protests as a domestic constraint on the negotiating team, not as background colour.
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