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Spain enter the 2026 final as Ballon d'Or favourite, with markets and history both leaning La Roja
A 60% implied price on Polymarket, a generation of Ballon d'Or contenders on one roster, and a final that doubles as a coronation. Spain's 2026 run is also an audition.

Desk note: Monexus framed this as a market-and-individual-prize story, not a partisan preview. The Polymarket print is treated as price, not prediction, and the Ballon d'Or conversation is held open until the final whistle.
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