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Tucker Carlson's third-party moment, and the market that already priced it

Carlson says he is building a rival to the GOP. Polymarket gives him a 14% shot at a presidential run by year-end. The numbers, and the longer pattern, are more interesting than the announcement.

Four men in formal attire stand together indoors, with one man in a blue suit clasping his hands while another gestures with both hands during an apparent meeting.
Four men in formal attire stand together indoors, with one man in a blue suit clasping his hands while another gestures with both hands during an apparent meeting. @FarsNewsInt · Telegram

Wire provenance

This editorial synthesis draws on the following public wire/social posts:

  • https://t.me/insiderpaper
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